The Filmsnobs Are Too Hot For The Oscars!

What to Expect and What to Dread about Steve Martin, Chicago, and the Fact that Scorcese Will Probably Get Screwed Again

By Jimmy O

Normally, this is the time of the year where I post the Oscars Night Drinking Game for the enjoyment of our readers. It's something the Filmsnobs have been doing since the pre-site days when Roberto Benigni still deserved to be awarded for his work. If the reader can't recall the game from last year, the Drinking Game is a laundry list of goofy things that were inevitable to occur during the festivities. Here's an example: 1. Drink every time a Mirimax film wins an award. 2. Drink for every Best Documentary nominee that's subject is the Holocaust. Pretty funny, yes? And I would like to say that I'm not posting the Drinking Game this year out of respect for the fighting men and women being used to help Dick Cheney's stock valuation risking their lives at the same time as the ceremony. But my intentions are not that noble as you probably know. This year, I'm so aggravated by the nominations that I don't want to wait for a predecided list of conditions to stop my constant flow of alcohol. But, embedded in the previous statement indicates that I'm not boycotting the broadcast. And that's because you can never get too pissed about the Oscars. For no matter how bad or wrong the nominations or the subsequent wins may be, there is something almost sacred about the status of the Academy Awards. In the grand tradition of the awards I'm about ready to trash, I'm going to list my nominees for Biggest Disappointment of This Year's Academy Awards.

1. Steve Martin Bringing Down the Auditorium. Based on Martin's performance a few years ago, the Filmsnobs were beyond excited about his return to the hosting gig. He brought a sense of highbrow humor and class to the proceedings. But that was before Bringing Down the House, a film that seemed as though it should have been another project to supplement his playwrighting. Who knew it would end up qualifying as one of the most offensive films ever made. (Please see Jimmy O's review) How will anyone be able to enjoy his jokes with the awareness that there's a multiplex somewhere that is showing Martin making fun of the Chinese and wearing Fubu-knockoffs as he takes Joan Plowright clubbing. It certainly doesn't help that his Bringing Down costar, Queen Latifah, will be in the audience since she is nominated for her pimp role in Chicago. Which brings us to the next nominee.

2. The Harsh Chill of the Windy City Sweeping. I understand why people want to see a renaissance of film musicals. They used to be big hits and surefire wins at major awards ceremonies. And now, we have Chicago. Chicago has now made over $100 million at the box office. And with 13 nominations and sweeps at almost every other awards show, it is likely to walk away big on Sunday night. But it's still very bad. I've already made my peace about the singing and the acting (Both not very good here.), but no one has been able to argue favorably for the substance of the film. What does this film say about the celebrity status and criminal behavior that hasn't already been said by Natural Born Killers or Fifteen Minutes? I'm not saying that every great film has to say something totally unique but this film adds nothing to that whole idea. But now, Mirimax has the marketing finesse to get everyone to believe that this is the real resurgence. Even though it really happened last year with Moulin Rouge!, but that was way too risky to be considered Academy material.This tame and bland yet popular film will probably end up winning a load of awards. That probably includes...

3. Rob Marshall Beating Out Martin Scorcese. Martin Scorcese has been making ass-kicking flicks since the late 1960's and he has never won an award. He was nominated in 1980 for Raging Bull but ended up losing to Robert Redford for Ordinary People. That wasn't so bad. Then, Scorcese was nominated in 1990 for Goodfellas but ended up losing to Kevin Costner for Dances with Wolves. Not as respectable, but understandable when placing the two films up to Academy sensibilities. But this year, Scorcese crafted Gangs of New York as a sprawling, exciting epic about the emerging socioeconomic and personal politics of our nation. The sets and the costumes, the three-hour time span, and the gritty yet nicely filmed piece should have been a shoe-in for Best Picture and Director. But there's a possibility that Scorcese will get beat out by another first-time director, this time it is Chicago's Rob Marshall. No matter what you think about Marshall or about Gangs of New York, one must admit that Scorcese and his career merits a political win at the very least. If he doesn't win, then I suppose Scorcese can join company with the likes of Hitchcock as genius directors who do not get their just rewards outside of Lifetime Achievements. I am stubborn and I still think he may win, but history is not on his side.

4. Nicole Losing to Renee for Best Director. Even if I found The Hours to be mastabatory literary hooey, it's hard to deny the power of Nicole Kidman's performance as Virginia Woolf. I guess it's easy to say I'll be disappointed also on the merits of the fact that I wanted to see Nicole win last year over Halle Berry. Or maybe I'm still mad because Nicole wasn't even nominated for one of the best performances of the 1990's: Her Suzanne in Gus Van Sant's 1995 To Die For. Or maybe I'm just totally in love and just hope that she stumbles upon this one day and decides that we could get married. That's one of the big problems with analyzing these awards: It's always very easy to allow personal feelings to get in the way of these kind of predictions. That's probably explains why I haven't got any of the major categories tagged since 1990. Oh well, we still love you Nicole and we can't wait to see what you're wearing on Sunday night.

5. I'll Actually be Watching the Whole Thing. Yes, we all bitch and moan about the Oscars. I've found myself doing it a lot this year, mainly for the reason listed above. But everyone watches it because they're exciting and funny and...because they're still the best standard we have to measure the year's view on cinema. The ceremony will no doubt be subdued this year (Or maybe not even broadcast at all) as a result of the Operation Freedom Iraq but they will still be something that we'll be talking about all the way into next year. Sure, we didn't all agree with Denzel or Halle or Mr. Broadbent, but all of those nominations let us remember what was going on in film and society at that moment in history. I'll argue that the MTV Movie Awards are becoming more of a reflection on current trends, but they still have a lot more cleaning up to do. And we'll still be making our predictions. Here now are the major categories, and who will win is in bold lettering and who should win, according to the Filmsnobs, will be in italics. Remember, the Filmsnobs are not liable for any lost bets in any office pools:

Best Picture: Chicago, Gangs of New York, The Hours, The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers, The Pianist

Best Director: Rob Marshall, Martin Scorcese, Stephen Daldry, Roman Polanski, Pedro Almodovar

Best Actor: Adrian Brody, Nicolas Cage, Michael Caine, Daniel Day-Lewis, Jack Nicholson

Best Actress: Salma Hayek, Nicole Kidman, Diane Lane, Julianne Moore, Renee Zellweger

Best Supporting Actress: Kathy Bates, Julianne Moore, Queen Latifah, Meryl Streep, Catherine Zeta-Jones

Best Supporting Actor: Chris Cooper, Ed Harris, Paul Newman, John C. Reily, Christopher Walken

Best Song: "Burn it Blue", "Father and Daughter", "The Hands That Built America", "I Move On", "Lose Yourself"